PolyPilot

Track record

Every call, including the bad ones.

There are no testimonials on this site, because we will not write quotes from customers we do not have. This is the alternative: every high-conviction signal the engine has produced, and how the market it pointed at actually resolved.

Signals recorded

2,351

Every signal scoring 65+

Markets settled

328

Entries whose market has closed

Leader was right

61%

201 of 328

Still open

2,022

Markets yet to resolve

Recording since 23 Aug 2026. Updated automatically as markets close.

How to read this

What these numbers are, and are not

This is not a return figure. It measures whether the position a tracked wallet opened resolved in their favour. It does not measure what you would have made, because that depends on when you entered, at what price, and at what size — three things this page cannot know.

Exits are excluded. When a leader sells, we record it but never score it. Whether an exit was “right” depends on their cost basis, which is not something we can see. Counting exits as wins would flatter the number, so they sit outside it entirely.

High-conviction signals only, and nothing else is filtered. The engine scores far more trades than it recommends; this record covers those scoring 65 or above, which is the set it presents as worth acting on. That threshold is applied to the score, which is fixed before anyone can know the outcome, so it cannot select for winners. Beyond it there is no filtering: a signal enters this record the moment it is generated and there is no step at which a bad call could be removed.

Void markets are excluded. A market that closes without paying out either side — cancelled, delisted, or never resolved — is recorded and then set aside. Counting those as losses would drag the number down with markets that resolved for nobody, which is as misleading as dropping the losers would be.

Small samples show no percentage. Below 30 settled signals, a band shows its raw counts and no rate. Four correct calls out of four is a 100% hit rate and tells you nothing.

By conviction

Does the score mean anything?

The engine scores every position out of 100 before the outcome is known. If the score is worth having, higher bands should resolve correctly more often. Here is whether they do.

Conviction bandSettledRightHit rate
High conviction (80+)533566%
Strong (72–79)1065451%
Solid (65–71)16911266%

The list

The last 60 signals

MarketLeader tookAtSizeScoreOutcomeWhen
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 157.5mooseborzoiiBoughtUnder47¢$43577Open6h ago
China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BoughtEkaterina Alexandrova58¢$19k73Open6h ago
China Open: Taylah Preston vs Diane Parry0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BoughtTaylah Preston18¢$32268Open7h ago
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational PlayoffsDiabolical-PrizeBoughtSolary36¢$1.1k74Open7h ago
China Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Daria Snigur0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BoughtDaria Snigur46¢$5.4k73Open7h ago
China Open: Taylah Preston vs Diane Parry0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BoughtTaylah Preston36¢$4.2k73Open7h ago
Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?e46m3BoughtNo77¢$4171Open7h ago
Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?e46m3BoughtNo71¢$3871Open7h ago
Will BetBoom Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?e46m3BoughtNo99¢$5266Open7h ago
Will Aurora Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?e46m3BoughtNo98¢$5166Open7h ago
Will G2 Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?e46m3BoughtNo98¢$5166Open7h ago
Spread: Virginia (-2.5)mooseborzoiiBoughtVirginia50¢$96277Open7h ago
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational PlayoffsDiabolical-PrizeBoughtSolary36¢$25374Open7h ago
China Open: Taylah Preston vs Diane Parry0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BoughtDiane Parry50¢$16k73Open7h ago
China Open: Taylah Preston vs Diane Parry0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BoughtTaylah Preston49¢$20k73Open7h ago
Jingshan: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BoughtAlex Bolt51¢$18k73Open7h ago
China Open: Taylah Preston vs Diane Parry0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BoughtTaylah Preston35¢$34268Open7h ago
Spread: Lebanon (-2.5)mooseborzoiBoughtLebanon59¢$5176Open1d ago
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-10-01?mooseborzoiBoughtYes72¢$9976Open1d ago
North Texas vs. TulsamooseborzoiBoughtNorth Texas52¢$3371Open1d ago
Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 9.5 Total CornersmooseborzoiBoughtOver44¢$4976Open1d ago
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?mooseborzoiBoughtYes49¢$4976Open1d ago
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?mooseborzoiBoughtYes49¢$12076Open1d ago
UTSA vs. Rice: O/U 55.5mooseborzoiBoughtUnder49¢$3771Open1d ago
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?mooseborzoiBoughtYes49¢$9976Open1d ago
Spread: Liberty (-6.5)mooseborzoiBoughtLiberty56¢$3371Open1d ago
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?mooseborzoiBoughtNo49¢$3371Open1d ago
North Texas vs. TulsamooseborzoiBoughtNorth Texas52¢$8376Open1d ago
Spread: Penn State (-3.5)mooseborzoiBoughtNorthwestern56¢$20076Open1d ago
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5mooseborzoiBoughtUnder52¢$7776Open1d ago
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?mooseborzoiBoughtYes48¢$4976Open1d ago
Oregon State vs. Colorado StatemooseborzoiBoughtOregon State68¢$14876Open1d ago
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?mooseborzoiBoughtYes49¢$4976Open1d ago
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on October 5?e46m3BoughtNo99¢$20866Open2d ago
LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winnergvrgb326552g65BoughtSolary60¢$4.5k78Open2d ago
Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?e46m3BoughtNo96¢$4366Open2d ago
Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?e46m3BoughtNo97¢$14066Open2d ago
Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?e46m3BoughtNo100¢$14566Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming77¢$59876Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming77¢$90076Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming77¢$1.5k76Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming77¢$20071Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming73¢$8966Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming73¢$10066Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming73¢$42476Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming70¢$94676Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming70¢$91476Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming70¢$1.5k76Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming70¢$27376Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming68¢$3.1k76Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming66¢$1.9k76Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming64¢$99576Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming64¢$12271Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming64¢$95776Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming64¢$39176Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming64¢$21171Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming63¢$6666Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming61¢$78276Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming61¢$57176Open2d ago
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ADiabolical-PrizeBoughtLGD Gaming61¢$4.9k76Open2d ago

Signals are recorded the moment the engine scores them, before the outcome is known, and are never edited or removed afterwards. Markets are resolved from Polymarket’s own settlement data, and a market that closes without paying out either side is marked void rather than counted as a loss.

What to do with this

Judge it yourself, for free

The free plan shows you the same feed on a 15-minute delay, with the full score breakdown on every signal. Watch it for a week against this record and decide whether the calls are worth following at the size you actually trade.

If they are not, PolyPilot is not for you, and we would rather you worked that out before paying than after.